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<< Blackouts: I Told You So | Main | Anti-Labor Utility Cause of Blackout? >> August 18, 2003Why This "Recovery" is So UnstableThe Wall Street Journal writes that the real dangerous thing about this "recovery" is that the mortgage bubble and Federal Reserve and fiscal policy have been injecting the equivalent of steroids into the economy and the results have still been only anemic. Unless the economy find self-sustaining growth, subtract the recent tax checks mailed out and equity withdrawals from homes next year and we could see a serious crash. This graph shows how remarkable the fiscal and monetary policy help to this recovery has been:
Posted by Nathan at August 18, 2003 10:37 AM Related posts:
Trackback PingsTrackBack URL for this entry: CommentsIs that the real or the nominal federal funds rate? Although it might not go under the heading of expansionary policy, there were some points in the prior cycle, for example, where the real rate not-entirely-intentionally went negative. Posted by: paul at August 18, 2003 11:37 AM I'm still in the camp that we won't see real recovery and job growth until the dollar gets low enough for exports and export-related manufacturing to go up - which may be starting to happen now. I think the Administration's reliance on a high dollar is in good part to blame for the economic troubles - a high dollar may be good for dollar-valued global commodities and the extraction industries to which Bush/Cheney owe allegiance (I can't think of any other President who came from this background) and is great for Wall St., but has been hell for manufacturing and exports. Didn't Clinton come into a similar situation in 1993 and stressed exports? and look what happened... Posted by: Andy at August 18, 2003 01:11 PM hmmm, Posted by: Patrick (G) at August 18, 2003 04:25 PM Post a comment
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