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<< El Plan de Philadelphia | Main | Dean Walks the Line >> August 29, 2003Politics of the Minimum WageSo here you have the minimum wage-- supported by 80% of the population and able to put tens of billions of dollars straight into the hands of the working poor, with no cost to the federal treasury. This would seem like a no-brainer as a top issue for Democrats. But it's not. And therein is the story of the Democrats failure to win politically. A lot of analysts argue that "social issues" -- abortion, affirmative action, prayer in schools, etc. -- have driven poor working class whites out of the party. That's inaccurate. Why Dems Lose White Working Class Voters: What's driven those voters out is the failure of the Democrats to more strongly articulate the economic policies that will make those working class whites vote their pocketbooks, not their churches. Without a strong economic message for working Americans, voters turn to cultural issues to define their politics. Back in 1994 when the Republicans took over Congress I outlined this as the key reason for that loss by the Democrats. (See Why Voters Left the Democrats.) And despite Clinton triangulating his own personal political survival, the Democrats didn't learn that lesson well, except for Gore's hesitant lunges at a "populist agenda", which he retreated from quickly as the 2000 election proceeded. Ruy Tuxeira notes that the key to Bush winning in 2000 versus Dole losing in 1996 was dominance of the white working and middle class vote: [Bush] won white voters with household incomes under $75,000 by 13 points, compared with Dole, who lost the same group in 1996 by a point. And he carried noncollege-educated whites by 17 points, while Dole had lost them by a point.Oddly, the reason Dems are remaining competitive at all is that they are picking up socially liberal upscale communities while losing more poor districts: In 2000, the voters in 17 out of 25 of the nation's most affluent counties -- all with high percentages of people with advanced degrees -- cast majorities for Al Gore, sometimes by more than 70 percent.The rightwing used to have rhetoric about "limosine liberals" which was largely irrelevant to the working class voters who knew that the Democrats were standing up for the minimum wage, union rights and other core issues of job protections that kept the loyalty of those voters. The Muting of Economic Liberalism: But the articulation of issues like the minimum wage as core values of liberalism has become so muted that white working class voters tend to think of themselves not as liberals -- associated now with social issues like abortion rather than the minimum wage -- but as conservatives. And it's that indentification which has made church-going a more reliable barometer of voting patterns than economic class. See this article in the Economist: The more often voters went to church, the more likely they were to vote Republican. Of those who never go, 61% chose Mr Gore, 32% Mr Bush. For those who go more than once a week, the votes were reversedThis is not an argument for reversing on social issues but more forcefully articulating an economic agenda that appeals to working class white voters-- some may still vote culture issues, but others will choose their pocketbook instead. And the minimum wage, which would help 20% plus of the population is a core part of targetting that audience. As the recent fight in Alabama over making the tax code more progressive shows, economic justice can be articulated as core a concern for the religious as abortion has been. "Jesus says one of our missions is to take care of the least among us," [Governor] Riley told The Birmingham News in May, echoing the same Gospel passage that supplied the title of Hamill's book. "We've got to take care of the poor."Conservatives have mastered the art of dividing core Democratic constituencies through "wedge" campaigns-- well, the minimum wage is a wedge to divide working class whites from their corporate allies. A Louder Trumpet: There are hopeful signs that the candidates this year recognize this, but there needs to be a broader intellectual revitablization in defense of the minimum wage to make liberals stop being so damn indecisive on the issue. (What started this series of posts in the first place.) A weak trumpet will hardly rally people to your cause. Posted by Nathan at August 29, 2003 07:30 AM Related posts:
Trackback PingsTrackBack URL for this entry: CommentsI completely agree with you about the minimum wage, but the problem is that it doesn't affect the vast majority of the working class and middle class, who already earn more than the minimum wage. I think Democrats are cowards for not supporting increases in the minimum wage more vigorously, but on the other hand the number of people it affects combined with their likelihood to vote probably makes it a fairly unappealing issue. Posted by: Kevin Drum at August 29, 2003 12:06 PM Since when does an issue have to benefit a majority of the population to be useful. If you remember, there was an election a couple years ago where a few hundred votes would have made the difference. Any issue that dramatically and directly benefits 20% of the population -- actually more since it pushes up wages for those just above it -- is a major political gain for the party pushing it. And maybe poorer folks would vote more (and there is some documentation for this) if the minimum wage was a more central part of the election debate? Posted by: Nathan Newman at August 29, 2003 12:46 PM First of all, it affects the right small group of people. That is, the group that includes poor, working-class whites who lately have been voting Republican on culture issues. A dynamic minimum wage campaign could siphon off a lot of these people, which (even if its not actually very many people) would be a problem for Bush. He needed every one of those working-poor white votes to even get clos enough to steal it in 2000, so taking any back from him at all is worth doing. It also affects a larger group of people than one might think. First of all, it doesn't merely affect everyone who makes the present minimum wage. It affects everyone who makes less than the new minimum wage. Plus, if I've got a job that pays $8.00/hr and the minimum wage is $5.15/hr, what happens to my wage when the minimum wage goes up to $8.00/hr? Does my job become a minimum wage job, or do my wages increase in response to the rising minimum wage? Also, it has the benefit of just being the right to do, already. I wish they could figure out a way to fix it to inflation. Every year the minimum wage doesn't go up, it goes down. I want to force Congress to vote it down, and have it go up automatically if they don't, rather than the present system, which is ass-backwards. Posted by: Drew Vogel at August 30, 2003 09:58 AM This could certainly be the wedge issue that causes public panic against the "new right". Forget who gets the wage increases and all of the other arguments. It would force the "new right" to state their position on the issue, and their postition is the entire elimination of minimum wage laws. Just get them to state that publicly, and your 80% would run for the hills of the Democratic Party. Posted by: Benedict@Large at August 31, 2003 06:06 AM Nathan, you are right on in your prescription that white, religious, working class voters will come back to the Dems if the Dems pursue a vigorous economic populism. However, what stops Dems from doing this is the fear of loss of corporate funds. The Dems wallow on this "However..." instead of simply embracing campaign finance reform in its most simple--and effective--explanation: 1. Immediate web based disclosure in return for losing most of the bureaucracy and regulations; 2. Public financing of elections so that people can run for office saying, "My only special interest is the public itself." 3. End the ban on contribution limits because it is clear that it has only benefited rich dillatantes running for office and the corporate funded candidates. Might as well let economically populist minded trust fund babies and Hollywood movie folks fund OTHER candidates of value to compete against the type of candidates we often see in the current system. Not having to troll for money gives time for our type of candidate to hang around people at rallies, take part in parades, and re-invigorate community institutions, including labor unions. This must be part of the economically populist platform. At the top of the economically populist platform? Labor law reform and national health insurance. Hmmmm....I wonder if Wes Clark agrees with us? If he does, this could really get interesting... Posted by: mitchell freedman at August 31, 2003 11:10 AM excellent, Nathan. What Clinton-like triangulators have never realized is the point you just made: If you're wedded to free-trade and other pro-business economics, your only way to attract the kind of white middle-class/working-class voters who used to be the Democrats' bulwark, is to appeal to them on reactionary cultural issues such as abortion and gun control. The solution is not to turn right on social issues too but to stop being so tied to pro-business economics in the first place. However, the problem there is that with the current funding structure of politics, this may not be a winning formula either. Nevertheless, this subject must be debated rather than ignored. Posted by: Steve Cohen at September 1, 2003 10:26 AM There's a simple solution to the minimum wage "problem." It's indexing for inflation. If that were done (as it has for Social Security payments), the issue would go away. So why isn't it done? Most likely because both parties like to use the minimum wage as a partisan issue to "rally their troops." And it works so well. If indexing were actually done, both parties would have to find another issue to perform the same function. I agree, though, that raising the minimum wage has only a temporary negative impact, which affects only a few marginal businesses. The resulting layoffs, however short-lived and small in number, are nevertheless real. Posted by: Michael Brown at December 23, 2003 03:39 PM woah~! what a shocker~!!!!! Posted by: Mikey at January 7, 2004 01:59 PM My question is "Should the minimum wage be increase by $6.75 to $8/hr in california?" I am doing a report in school and i need some cons to work with in an essay!! Posted by: Kat at February 21, 2004 01:19 AM I am doing a similar report. $8/hr in Cali is not unreasonalble. Everything there cost more compared to other states. Some good sites are www.commondreams.org/viewsol/0825-08.htm But I am sure you are done with that report by now. Posted by: Karen at June 4, 2004 08:34 PM Post a comment
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