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<< What is your Foreign Policy Position? | Main | Solidarity in Action >> October 30, 2003Rising UI Claims- Falling UI ClaimsHere's an odd riddle-- For the last three weeks, the Labor Department has announced that unemployment claims had fallen from the week before. Also, for the last three weeks, unemployment claims jumped from the week before. It's called the magic of "revised" numbers. They announce a lower number from the week before, then revise it later in the week so it was actually higher. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is pretty independent, so I don't suspect any conspiracy, but the media should be a bit savvier. "WASHINGTON, Oct 30 (Reuters) - U.S. Labor Department What is phenomenal is that the economy can post a a 7.2% growth rate in GDP for the quarter, yet appear to be treading water on employment. This economy has been essentially injected with financial steroids-- radically low interest rates fueling house refinancing and massive deficit spending -- yet employment barely budges. If this is all we get with this kind of financial injections to the economy, what happens when interest rates rise and the initial tax cut round fades? Posted by Nathan at October 30, 2003 11:36 AM Related posts:
Trackback PingsTrackBack URL for this entry: CommentsPerhaps to quick points: 1)The Bush administration's tax cuts for the rich amount to a policy of reflating asset values after the burst bubble. This is a dangerous move, as it doesn't reflect underlying fundamentals and actually slows the corrective process. Japan had a similar case after its bubble burst, and such reflation did not do them good. 2) There are strong indications that much of the current unemployment is structural or inter-sectoral rather than cyclical and that the large productivity growth that is taking place derives precisely from the sectors that are shedding jobs (and/or exporting them overseas). Thus it would take some time for new economic sectors to form and develop to take up the slack in employment. Posted by: john c. halasz at October 30, 2003 06:19 PM 401k moved from S&P 500 mimic fund to all govt bonds...too many economists seem really damn sketchy today. US Treasury bonds cant collapse can they? Posted by: sampo at October 30, 2003 11:57 PM The following little snippet is very interesting 0:00am 11/04/03 Posted by: Rajiv at November 5, 2003 12:58 AM Post a comment
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