<< Why Big Donors Represent Little People | Main | Forrester: Put a Fork in Him >>

October 23, 2002

Why Polls May Skew Conservative

MyDD makes a good case that with so many people refusing to answer polling phone calls, the question becomes how the selective response may skew the results. His answer:

What does seem the case (and this is backed up by the SUSA polling respondents) is that the polls favor the likelihood that conservatives are the ones being polled. Goas states that everywhere that Bush goes, he pops the GOP numbers by 3-4 percent. Is this really the case? Or is it just the case that partisan Republicans are more likely to want to be amongst the .003 of the population that is actually interested in shaping the poll numbers. Consider the freepers, and the time they waste disproportionately influencing online polls.

This last line is kinda compelling-- conservatives have become obsessed with manipulating media polls. While the left complains about polls, they just don't have this obsession, just like they never had the obsession to rant on talk radio.

The happy thought on this is it could mean that close races in the polls will tip to the Dems on election day. Well, we'll see on November 5.

Posted by Nathan at October 23, 2002 09:50 PM

Related posts: