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<< Anatomy of Lying and Blame Shifting | Main | Sex and Statistics >> July 15, 2003Why "Tax Cut Stimulus" FailsYou know Bush's tax cut solution for the economy is useless when the apostles of Reagan's tax cuts declare it useless. Read this article by Paul Craig Roberts, one of the original Reagan appointees in charge of tax policy -- he was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury. What Roberts argues is that the tax cuts are pushing growth, just not in the US: I think that the jobless recovery is an illusion and that the U.S. economy is creating jobs - but not for Americans. Those 2.5 million manufacturing jobs have not been lost. They have been moved offshore and given to foreigners who work for less money. The service economy was supposed to take the place of the lost manufacturing economy. Alas, those jobs, too, are being created for foreigners. It turns out it's even easier to move service jobs abroad...The bottom line is that randomly handing tax checks to consumers won't help the economy if it just swells the trade deficit. The real answer is simple. Rather than target stimulus spending randomly, pick spending that will translate directly into jobs in the US. Regular consumers may not target their spending, but the government can. Prime candidates for targetted spending are public works such as mass transit or other infrastructure and health care-- two areas that translate most directly into US jobs. Such micro-targetting of government spending is the only way we are going to get serious job growth. Otherwise, we are just generously helping boost other countrys' economies on the backs of debt left to our grandchildren. Posted by Nathan at July 15, 2003 08:27 AM Related posts:
Trackback PingsTrackBack URL for this entry: Comments"You know Bush's tax cut solution for the economy is useless when the apostles of Reagan's tax cuts declare it useless." No, that proves nothing. It's an opinion. "The real answer is simple. Rather than target stimulus spending randomly, pick spending that will translate directly into jobs in the US. Regular consumers may not target their spending, but the government can." Translation: We shouldn't trust individuals, we need to centrally control the economy. Posted by: David Andersen at July 15, 2003 08:03 PM "No, that proves nothing. It's an opinion." Nathan doesn't claim it proves anything, it's just an informal expression used to show the gravity of the situation and what effect his evidence has on the argument. No, technically we don't all "know" the tax cut is useless, but the point of all statements like this is not to be truly factual. It just so happens that saying "you know" in this context often does mark a slight exaggeration, and shouldn't be taken as a claim the following sentence is 100% true. Arguing over complete factuality is beside the point of the article, as well as irrelevant when everyday language usage is examined. "Translation: We shouldn't trust individuals, we need to centrally control the economy." This comes nowhere close to what Nathan said. He advocated targeted spending as opposed to just throwing money around "randomly." Spending money on mass transportation and health care is a far cry from a centrally controlled economy. This is the point indirectly supported by the quote and evidence Nathan provided. He also does not say individuals cannot be trusted. It just so happens that in this world and at this time, there are safer and more efficient places to put money if we truly wish to create more jobs. Posted by: Micah Lanier at July 15, 2003 10:25 PM Micah-- Don't kick David too hard. The point of Paul Craig Roberts piece and mine is not to "trust" individuals, in the sense that each individual will rationally buy lots of imports and therefore undermine any chance for recovery, while those same individuals will rationally act collectively to pump up spending on jobs in the US. This is a standard collective action problem. It's why rational human beings repeatedly drive the economy into recession and depression and why you can't "trust" individuals to get us out of it. No reason to worship individuals, when democracy is all about trusting people to act collectively. Posted by: Nathan at July 15, 2003 11:56 PM My apologies if I came off a bit harsh. My mother's taken up listening to right-wing talk radio the past couple days before Democracy Now comes on, so naturally I'm a bit irritable about overstatements here and there ;-). Posted by: Micah Lanier at July 16, 2003 02:45 PM Post a comment
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