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<< A Protestant Nation No More | Main | Even Greenspan Thinks Wage Inequalty a Problem >> July 21, 2004Charlie Cook: Bush in Deep TroubleCharlie Cook looks at the poll numbers and notes that Bush and Kerry have been de facto dead even in the polls for months. And that's possibly fatal news for Bush: given the fact that well-known incumbents with a defined record rarely get many undecided voters -- a quarter to a third at an absolute maximum -- an incumbent in a very stable race essentially tied at 45 percent was actually anything but in an even-money situation...Here's the point of these comments. Don't read polls just for the spread between Bush and Kerry. Look for the spread between Bush and 50%. If Bush is much below 50%, he's in deep trouble in that state. Posted by Nathan at July 21, 2004 07:28 AM Related posts:
Trackback PingsTrackBack URL for this entry: CommentsPolite?? Posted by: Merkin at July 21, 2004 11:34 AM Bush isn't conservative enough for me, but the possibility of Kerry in the White House is enough to get me to the polls. Posted by: La Shawn at July 21, 2004 02:43 PM Bush is currently polling only 48% in Indiana. Does that make IN in play? Neither campaign seems to think so. Posted by: bakho at July 21, 2004 10:49 PM Shawn, Posted by: Ruester at July 22, 2004 03:20 AM Bakho-- Kerry would need almost all of the undecideds to win in Indiana. If he's got that kind of support on election day, he won't need Indiana's electoral votes. For both campaigns, devoting resources to Indiana would probably be a waste. Posted by: gordo at July 23, 2004 06:01 PM No doubt a percentage of the Die Hard Bush supporters will wake up to his lies before actually casting a vote. Kerry might be liberal (and I am a conservative republican) but ANYONE is better than a War Mongering individual who is making us the most hated nation on earth, and driving us bankrupt in the process. Posted by: MAC at July 30, 2004 03:32 AM JOHN KERRY THE PREFERRED CHOICE GOR AL QUEDA Posted by: Puff Driver at July 30, 2004 08:06 PM Puff Driver- what a silly person you are. Bush is the best friend Al Quaeda ever had. Before Bush came along, Bin Laden was a marginal figure in the world, dangerous and vicious, but with little mass support. Since Bush launched his reckless war in Iraq, Al Quaeda and Bin Laden's popularity has soared and favorability towards the US and its goals have plummeted. When the World Trade Towers were attacked, Al Quaeda knew that they could not inflict actual lasting harm on the United States economically or militarily. But by provoking a reckless response by Bush, they were able to raise their profile and expand their recruitment. Bush has been the best friend of terrorism possible. And he's been nice enough to devote hundreds of billions of dollars to fighting Saddam Hussein, while devoting almost nothing comparatively to catching Al Quaeda. Damn-- you'd think Bin Laden, not the Supreme Court, had picked Bush for the presidency. Posted by: Nathan Newman at July 31, 2004 08:48 AM Kerry loves terrorists. That;s why he missed almost 80% of the hearings when he was on teh Senate Intelligence Committee. Kerry/Edwards Posted by: Puff Driver at August 2, 2004 08:25 PM 5534 Thanks so much for all the help to buy ink cartridges Posted by: inkjet cartridges at September 6, 2004 01:22 AM 4118 check out the tramadol online Posted by: tramadol at September 6, 2004 04:35 PM 2389 visit http://www.cialis-dot.com for Cialis online. Posted by: cialis at September 6, 2004 09:53 PM 5081 http://www.slots-w.com click here to play Slots online Posted by: slots at September 7, 2004 12:05 PM 4203 High riskmerchant account thanks Posted by: merchant accounts at September 8, 2004 12:12 PM 4558 get high riskinternet merchant accounts account Posted by: internet merchant account at September 8, 2004 09:56 PM Here is the story: BlackJack originated in French casinos around 1700 where it was called "vingt-et-un" ("twenty-and-one") and has been played in the U.S. since the 1800's. Online BlackJack is named as such because if a player got a Black Jack of Spades and internet black jack an Ace of Spades as the first two cards (Spade being the color jack black of course), the player was additionally remunerated. http://www.888-blackjack.com Posted by: blackjack at September 9, 2004 08:21 PM Try to buy cialis and see cialis. Posted by: cialis at September 13, 2004 07:25 AM Posted by: soma at September 13, 2004 07:26 AM Posted by: tramadol at September 13, 2004 07:27 AM Post a comment
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