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<< Full Rundown on Iraq Torture Scandal | Main | Labor Roundup >> May 03, 2004Kerry Doing FineFolks are suddenly gnashing their teeth that Kerry's campaign is somehow in trouble, this NY TIMES analysis being typical. Kerry has raised $80 million from 400,000 different people- $34 million of it over the Internet. He's survived the largest barrage of negative political advertising in history from the Bush campaign (something like $50 million in ads in the last month), yet Bush hasn't been able to open up a lead. Kerry is not the most dynamic speaker, no question, but he'll wear well with people over time. Unlike Gore, who I knew would annoy people so much he'd blow the election, Kerry will plod along, absorb Bush's attacks, then close hard at the end. That's been his pattern in tough races in Massachusetts-- notably when he dispatched Bill Weld-- and was his pattern in the Democratic nomination fight. And if you want to see where the campaign is making inroads at the grassroots, don't watch the official Kerry campaign, watch the 527s run by the unions. Folks are so busy trashing Kerry that are missing the growth of the most massive grassroots Presidential campaign in history: See these articles: http://www.sptimes.com/2004/03/22/State/Liberals_gleaning_Fla.shtml "By mid May, six months before Election Day, hundreds of full-time and part-time paid staffers will be spread across Florida mobilizing Democratic voters to beat President Bush. By several accounts, the ranks will grow to more than 1,000 by late June and continue swelling from there. http://www.1199seiu.org/ourlocal/1199news/april2004/heroes.cfm "The Heroes program is one of the most ambitious political undertakings in the labor movement's history. 1199SEIU and its parent union, the Service Employees International Union (SEIU), have recruited some 700 members and activists willing to put their lives on hold right now to work for a better tomorrow. Heroes will spend three to six months educating and registering voters, doing political action work and getting the message of change out in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida, three of 15 crucial "battleground" states." http://www.thenation.com/doc.mhtml?i=20040426&s=nichols "Through projects like the "Steel Canvas"--in which activists, many of them laid-off steelworkers, knock on doors with leaflets reading, "The Bush Administration sent my job overseas. What should I do now?"--ACT has already contacted 190,000 Ohioans and registered 36,000 new voters. And that's just the start. With a budget that is expected to reach $95 million, ACT has fifty organizers and 450 canvassers working in Ohio, which Bush carried only narrowly in 2000, and is replicating that level of activity in the sixteen other swing states that hold the balance in this year's contest between Bush and Democrat John Kerry. "I think we're doing fine out there. Posted by Nathan at May 3, 2004 07:52 PM Related posts:
Trackback PingsTrackBack URL for this entry: CommentsAttention Democrats Wishing to Defeat Bush: DO NOT PANIC!!!! EVER!!!! Nathan is completely right here. Really, the media will be pushing 'campaign in crisis' stories whenever it can, both for Bush and Kerry. Let it roll right off you. Be like a cool political operative. Just get everybody you know to vote, and if you live in a swing state, get everybody you know to volunteer. And don't panic. Posted by: Buford P. Stinkleberry at May 3, 2004 08:18 PM Doing well or doing poorly, Kerry -- Mr. Non-Redistributionist Democrat -- is ever-increasingly "Bush-lite." We really, really should've been able to do better than this in the Democratic presidential primary. Posted by: Jason Schulman at May 3, 2004 11:45 PM The unions are doing fine, but Kerry sucks. Why does he insist on staying close to Bush on the Iraq disaster? And why hasn't he opened up a campaign office in Ohio by now? Kerry has stayed close because of outside factors, not for anything he's done. Hard to believe so many Dems voted for this guy cause he's "electable"!! Posted by: Carl at May 4, 2004 01:45 AM according to the iowa electronic market bush will win by about 6% of the popular vote. this seems like a pretty good estimate to me. i came to the same result based on comparison with the 1988 election. the IEM does not have a winner take all offering but the british bookies are giving kerry about a 42% chance of winning which i think is too high. i think 25% is closer to the real number. edwards probably would have been better but even he would have lost. the incumbent usually has a very big advantage. Posted by: 2pik at May 4, 2004 02:33 AM Let's not forget that this is the same John Kerry who was written off as a sure loser before the primaries. When people talked of an "electable" alternative to Dean, they spoke of Clark and Edwards, not Kerry. As N.N. points out, Kerry always runs strong at the end of a campaign. Bush, on the other hand, lost ground as election day approached in all three of his races. As for Kerry being too conservative, I really can't take that seriously. Politically, there is a wider gulf between Bush and Kerry than there has been in any presidential race since Goldwater and Johnson ran in '64. Would we have invaded Iraq if Kerry had been president? Would we be running $500 billion in deficits each year? Would the Labor Department be taking overtime pay away from millions of Americans? Would we have supported a coup in Haiti? Would there be a $100,000 tax write-off for buying Hummers while gas prices spike? The list goes on and on. I never would have voted for Nader if I had thought that Bush would be anywhere near as radical as he's turned out to be. I wanted to let the Democratic Party know that they couldn't win by writing off the progressives in the party. Now that they've nominated a man who is among the most liberal in the senate, I think it's do or die time. If progressives don't work for this candidate, the clear message to the Democratic Party will be that they may as well ignore the progressives and nominate Zell Miller in '08, as progressives will not accept any mainstream candidate under any circumstances. Posted by: Gordo at May 4, 2004 04:15 AM You said it, Gordo! Speaking as a resident of Massachusetts, I can say that Kerry is a centrist on trade, and blew it on the war vote last year, but on every other issue I can think of he has been a solid mainstream liberal. Posted by: Kevin Block-Schwenk at May 4, 2004 09:52 AM You said it, Gordo! Speaking as a resident of Massachusetts, I can say that Kerry is a centrist on trade, and blew it on the war vote last year, but on every other issue I can think of he has been a solid mainstream liberal. Posted by: Kevin Block-Schwenk at May 4, 2004 09:52 AM kevin, kerry is a free trader not a fair trader (voted for nafta, fast track...), undermining labor rights, the environment, and democracy. kerry voted for the patriot act. i live in MA too. kennedy is a solid liberal. kerry is not (unless you are taking the kerry of the 70's & 80's and averaging that will the kerry of the 90's and 00's). look, i'm going to vote for the guy... but, let's tell it like it is. Posted by: selise at May 4, 2004 12:45 PM You're absolutely right (strangely, David Brooks agrees with you). Moverover, the most damning thing Kerry's critics seem to manage is "yeah, but he's boring." Could be that Americans will vote for reasons less superficial than that. Posted by: Jeff at May 4, 2004 03:24 PM Rope-a-dope, anyone? Posted by: C.J.Colucci at May 4, 2004 04:53 PM Kerry & his extremly wealthy wife outsourced jobs away from union workers on Heinz St.in Mechanicsburg, Pa to a third party. He then goes on to critize Bush for allowing outsourcing.
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