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<< Crazy and Arrogant McAuliffe | Main | Less Educated Saw Bust even in Boom >> July 18, 2003More on California RecallIn comments, Preston writes: Given a choice between 2 or 3 or more Republicans and an incumbent Democrat even Gray Davis could win.As far as Preston's comments, that's the McAuliffe and Davis calculation. And it has the odor of the arrogance of the Prop 13 campaign, when people said anger over rising housing prices and taxes wouldn't make people do anything so crazy. But people will have a first vote focused on anger at Davis, up and down, and without having to directly vote for a GOP person on that vote, some will pull the lever. And with the Greens Camejo as an option, many left-Green types will happily vote for recall, knowing it will lead to one of the largest statewide totals for a Green candidate in history. So add together the GOP votes and the Green-leaning votes, and you have a majority that could well vote for recall. And Stirling S Newberry writes: Putting someone else on the ballot will mean the Republicans will field one candidate and win.Unlikely. Issa has made clear that having paid for the recall, he is not going to step aside. And more moderate California Republicans won't leave the field to him-- Riordan will likely run and Schwartenegger has to take his shot, since this crazy election is his best opportunity. And the hardcore rightwing doesn't even think Issa is pure enough, so they might run someone. So the reality is that if the Dems run a single candidate, say a caretaker like Leon Panetta as has been mentioned, they'd win the runoff in the cakewalk. So here you have the option of risking everything on this stupid brinksmanship option, or almost guaranteeing a Democrat in office no matter what happens. Arrogance. Pure and simple. Posted by Nathan at July 18, 2003 10:03 AM Related posts:
Trackback PingsTrackBack URL for this entry: CommentsAs an alternative, the Dem voters can vote for Camejo, who might be able to win in a field of two or three Republicans. That way you'd have a progressive in there, and it would be poetic justice for all those reactionary recall supporters. Posted by: Paleo at July 18, 2003 11:46 AM Can McAuliffe enforce this? My understanding is that anyone with $3,500 and 65 signatures can get on the ballot. McAuliffe can not actually stop anyone from running can he? Sure, pissing off McAuliffe might in general be a bad move for a Democrat, but if the prise is Governor of the largest state in the union, there will have to be at least some prominate Democrats willing to take the chance, won't there? Posted by: Decnavda at July 18, 2003 01:19 PM There's a bit of a problem with Preston's logic, as I understand the process. If it were a simple majority vote, he'd be right. But it's not...it's two questions. The first would be "Recall Gov Davis: Yes/No" If more than half say yes, it goes to question 2, which says "Pick your best choice to replace him". Whoever gets the most votes out of that question (Davis isn't an option) wins. So Davis could get 45%, and lose to a republican with just 35 or 40%. That is, at least, my understanding of the California recall process. I might be wrong (I hope so, actually...that's a really poor process). Posted by: JoeF at July 19, 2003 01:07 AM Join the Linux community. Linuxwaves.net Posted by: Mary at July 6, 2004 11:50 AM Post a comment
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